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The rate is in a safe neutral position

Gulf Today

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June 07, 2025

The European Central Bank has reduced the interest rate to 2 per cent from 2.25 per cent, and it seems to have completed the cycle of reduction of rates from 4.25 per cent in June 2024.

Markets are betting that the central bank would not reduce any further when it meets in July. The rate is now in a neutral position, where it can neither stimulate growth nor serve as a restraint.

Bank president Christine Lagarde said at a press conference, “At the current level we believe we are in a good position to navigate the uncertain circumstances that will be coming up.” She also said that the bank does not have any pre-determined position on the rate path, and it will take things as they turn out.

The two major challenges that the European Union (EU) faces is the slow growth in the economy on the continent, and the tariffs that US President Donald Trump had announced on European imports as he did on imports from all American trade partners.

European leaders are looking to negotiations but they have taken a firm position that they will not capitulate to the tariff threats of Washington. Because of lower economic growth, inflation is also aligned to the interest rate.

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