Is OpenAI becoming too big to fail?
Mint Mumbai
|November 03, 2025
Sam Altman’s ability to intertwine the startup throughout major tech players puts it at the nexus of a vital part of the U.S. economy
OpenAI's annual revenue is just 2% of Amazon.com's sales.
(REUTER)
Slowly then all at once, OpenAl became something of a juggernaut that’s hard to fully fathom.
Ithasn’t yet turned a profit. Its annual revenue is 2% of Amazon.com’ssales. Its future is uncertain beyond the hope of ushering ina godlike artificial intelligence that might help cure cancer and transform work and life as we know it. Still, it is brimming with hope and excitement.
But what if OpenAl fails?
There's real concern that through many complicated and murky tech deals aimed at bolstering OpenAT's finances, the startup hasbecome too big to fail.
Or, put another way, if the hype and hope around Chief Executive Sam Altman’s vision ofthe Al future fails to materialize, it could create systemic risk to the part of the U.S. economy likely keeping usout of recession.
That's rarefied air, especially for a startup. Few worried about what would happen if Pets.com failed in the dotcom boom.
Wesawin 2008-09 with the bank rescues and the Chrysler and General Motors bailouts what happensin the U.S. when certain companies become too bigto fail.
Altman—by design or happenstance—has engineered OpendATsrise to a$500 billion valuation just as the Trump administration hasembraced its own policies of picking champions in the name of national defense and economic security.
The White House hasbeen very vocal ineffortsto protect Al develop-mentinthe US., which is helping fuel what otherwise would be a much slower economy. More than that, some are betting that Al and robotics will be the salve to our nation’s debttroubles.
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