Côte d'Ivoire vote relevant for region

Côte d'Ivoire's experience in handling electoral disputes through legal channels demonstrates the rule of law in action

- Marion Smith

Political success is closely linked to sustainable economic performance.

Economically strong countries often experience stable political conditions, while poor economic performance has historically triggered protests and even military takeovers in Africa.

Countries like Guinea, Gabon, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, which have experienced military takeovers in recent years, continue to face persistent security threats from armed groups despite some signs of economic improvement. Debt servicing consumes a large portion of government revenues in these nations, much of which stems from colonial and postcolonial periods.

While opinions differ on the legitimacy of these military takeovers, there is broad agreement among leaders that political change alone cannot guarantee long-term stability and economic growth.

President Alassane Ouattara of Côte d'Ivoire has excelled in linking economic development to political stability. Between 2012 and 2019, the country achieved annual growth of 7-8%, and it has also streamlined its cocoa exports, the backbone of its economy. Côte d'Ivoire is one of the world's largest cocoa producers, supplying 40% of global demand.

When faced with protests over his eligibility to run for another term, Ouattara turned to the courts, which allowed him to contest the elections.

This reinforced the rule of law in the country. He is again contesting the presidential elections on 25 October 2025 and remains popular, with analysts predicting his victory.

In previous publications, I have argued that "Alassane Ouattara is poised to win elections despite threats from the opposition".