This budget’s boring, and that’s a good thing

In a mature economy, budgets should focus on maintaining macro stability, financing public goods, and fine-tuning existing systems — not reinventing the economic model or making grand gestures every February

- Duvvuri Subbarao

When faced with a problem, our instinct is rarely to stand still. We are wired to act, to intervene, to be seen to be doing something.

Behavioural economists illustrate this with a striking football analogy. Statistics show that when defending a penalty kick, goalkeepers almost always dive either to the right or the left. They stay in the centre barely 6% of the time. Yet penalty takers are just as likely to shoot straight down the middle as to aim for either corner. Statistically, the optimal strategy for the goalkeeper would be to stay put roughly one-third of the time. That would result in more saves, But goalkeepers rarely do that — because it is far more embarrassing to stand still and watch the ball sail past than to dive theatrically and still watch the ball sail past.

Politics works much like penalty goalkeeping. Leaders, especially elected leaders, are under constant pressure to act — to announce, to reform, to intervene. Inaction is mistaken for incompetence, while action, even when misguided, is often rewarded for its optics. The political premium is always on doing something, not on doing the right amount — or on knowing when to do nothing.

Which is precisely why this year's Union Budget deserves an unusual compliment It is boring. And that’s a good thing.

The finance minister has resisted the temptation to treat the budget as a stage for grand gestures or headline-grabbing experiments. Instead, it reflects a philosophy of restraint — of holding the macroeconomic line, maintaining continuity, and avoiding unnecessary disruption. In a political culture that rewards activism, this is a rare and underappreciated virtue.