Middle East war threatens to pummel Thai stocks
Bangkok Post
|June 17, 2025
The intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran is raising concerns over prolonged instability in the Middle East, with Daol Securities (Thailand) warning of ripple effects across global stock markets.
The conflict, which has escalated from tit-for-tat attacks since Friday, could have both positive and negative impacts on Thai equities.
According to analysts, the primary aim of Israel’s offensive may be to dismantle Iran’s nuclear facilities or even instigate regime change. Iran has signalled a willingness to de-escalate if Israel halts its attacks, while Israel has faced little international pressure to cease operations.
Because of conflicts in the Middle East, Daol sees a high chance that Brent crude oil prices could climb to around US$80 per barrel or higher, though the base-case assumption remains at $70 for Dubai crude. Rising oil prices are expected to benefit upstream energy producers and refineries.
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