EIC sounds alarm on strong baht

The continued appreciation of the baht against the US dollar, if left unaddressed, could weaken Thailand’s competitiveness in both tourism and exports relative to its regional peers, cautions SCB EIC, the research centre under Siam Commercial Bank (SCB).

- SOMRUEDI BANCHONGDUANG

Yunyong Thaicharoen, chief economist at EIC, said the baht's strength is inconsistent with Thailand’s subdued economic fundamentals, warning that the baht may serve as an amplifier of external shocks, hurting export competitiveness and tourism recovery.

Amid the baht’s appreciation, the Vietnamese dong has depreciated by 3.5% against the dollar year-to-date. This divergence is expected to reduce Thailand’s competitiveness in exports and tourism.

“For example, a Chinese tourist visiting Thailand would face prices of goods and services roughly 4% higher than other destinations. If that tourist were to visit Vietnam instead, they would pay about 6% less on average, based on EIC’s simulator,” Mr Yunyong explained.