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Why PM will be back for another stab at welfare cuts
August 09, 2025
|The Independent
Asked to name the worst moment of his first year as prime minister, Keir Starmer spoke movingly about the death of his brother.
If he had given a political answer - well, an honest one - it would surely have been his humiliating climbdown over cuts to disability benefits after a revolt by 126 Labour MPs.
Ministers still lick deep wounds, but tell me they have not given up on trying to reduce the ballooning welfare bill - set to rise from £313bn to £373bn by 2029-30. “It is unsustainable,” one said. “Any government would have to address it. We can’t give up on reform.”
Starmer admitted to a recent meeting of Labour’s national executive committee (NEC) his filleted legislation had not been handled well - a bit of an understatement. He promised a review by Stephen Timms, the minister for disability, would do better. Disabled people will play a key role, though, so it is hard to see how the review will recommend savings. Timms has said it is “not intended to deliver cuts”.
Fellow ministers are investing a lot of hope in the highly respected Timms. But he will need to be a miracle worker to keep everyone happy, producing a package supported by disability campaigners that also involves lower spending.
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