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Grinner takes all? Reform in election driving seat

April 21, 2025

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The Independent

Nigel Farage’s party would win 180 seats just ahead of the Tories and Labour if general election held today, poll says

- ARCHIE MITCHELL

Grinner takes all? Reform in election driving seat

If a general election were held today, Reform UK would be on course to win the most seats, but no party would be close to an overall majority, a new poll suggests.

Nigel Farage’s party would win 180 seats, with the Tories and Labour on 165 seats each, according to the More in Common survey of 16,000 voters. Sir Keir Starmer’s party would achieve an even worse result than it sustained under Jeremy Corbyn in 2019, losing 246 seats, the modelling claims.

Surveys conducted years away from a general election are unlikely to represent anything close to its result, because there is no way of predicting what the most important issues will be come polling day. Reform currently has just four MPs, having already lost one of the five elected last year.

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