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Study of antibiotic resistance for 122 countries predicts dire outcomes
July 21, 2025
|The Guardian
Superbugs could cause millions more people to die worldwide and cost the global economy just under $2tn a year by 2050, modelling shows.
A UK government-funded study shows that without concerted action, increased rates of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) could lead to global annual GDP losses of $1.7tn over the next quarter of a century.
The research, by the Center for Global Development thinktank, found the US, UK and EU economies would be among the hardest hit, prompting accusations that recent swingeing aid cuts are self-defeating.
On Thursday, the UK government announced it was axing funding for the Fleming fund, which combats AMR in low- and middle-income countries, as part of wider aid cuts.
The Trump administration has confirmed $9bn in cuts to its foreign aid budget, while a number of European countries have also reduced spending on overseas aid.
Anthony McDonnell, the lead author and a policy fellow at the Center for Global Development, said: "When we conducted our research on the economic impacts of antimicrobial resistance, it was anticipated that resistance rates would continue to follow historical trends.
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