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Too close to call Harris leads the polls-but it's still on a knife-edge
September 13, 2024
|The Guardian Weekly
Analysis of 2024 polling and previous elections involving Donald Trump suggests race could go either way
Polls for the US presidential race have been upended since Kamala Harris took over from Joe Biden to run against Donald Trump. While Biden was trailing the Republican former president nationally and in many crucial swing states, Harris has gained about three points in national polls since becoming the nominee.
The Guardian's poll tracker assesses polls over a rolling 10-day period. Last weekbefore this week's televised debate was taken into account- it had Harris leading nationally by about two points. But when comparing this with previous elections, data from RealClearPolitics reveals Harris's lead over Trump is weaker than those of his previous opponents. As of 30 August in their respective campaigns, Hillary Clinton led Trump by five points in 2016 and Biden was ahead of him by 6.3 points in 2020.
هذه القصة من طبعة September 13, 2024 من The Guardian Weekly.
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