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Japan's inflation accelerates, complicating BoJ's rate path

April 19, 2025

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Gulf Today

Japan's core inflation accelerated in March due to persistent rises in food costs, data showed on Friday, complicating the central bank's task of weighing mounting price pressures against risks to the economy from higher US tariffs.

Japan's inflation accelerates, complicating BoJ's rate path

The data comes ahead of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy meeting next week, when the central bank is set to keep interest rates steady at 0.5 per cent and cut its growth estimates as US President Donald Trump's steep tariffs cloud the economic outlook.

The core consumer price index (CPI), which includes oil products but excludes fresh food prices, rose 3.2 per cent in March from a year earlier, government data showed, matching a median market forecast and accelerating from a 3 per cent gain in February.

Core inflation has now exceeded the BOJ's 2 per cent target every month for three years in a row, in a sign of mounting price pressure as companies continue to pass on rising raw material and labour costs.

Inflation measured by an index that strips away the effects of both fresh food and fuel costs - closely watched by the BOJ as a broader price trend indicator also accelerated to 2.9 per cent in March from 2.6 per cent in February.

Households faced price hikes for a wide range of goods including gasoline, hotel bills and chocolates. Rice prices spiked 92.5 per cent in March from year-ago levels.

Services prices rose 1.4 per cent year-on-year in March, much smaller than a 5.6 per cent jump in goods prices in a sign the recent rise in inflation was driven mostly by high raw material costs.

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