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‘Space remains for response if growth significantly slows’

April 27, 2026

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Financial Express Bengaluru

High-frequency indicators still point to resilience, but policy action will hinge on whether supply shocks spill into broader inflation, MPC Member Saugata Bhattacharya tells Kshipra Petkar.

- SAUGATA BHATTACHARYA, MEMBER, MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE

He emphasises caution amid global spillovers and rising uncertainty, noting there remains space to respond if growth slows materially. Excerpts:What specific indicators are you watching most closely to assess whether growth is meaningfully weakening?

Nowcasts are based on statistical models of high-frequency indicators. The signals broadly indicate ongoing economic resilience, even amid expectations of an economic slowdown. The indicators are those we usually follow: Bank credit and deposit growth, vehicle sales, various survey responses, GST and other tax collections, and many more.

Which policy mistake worries you more now — tightening into a supply shock or easing amid rising inflation expectations?

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