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Rupee, bond trajectories rest on RBI rate cut, US trade talk

October 22, 2025

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Business Standard

Domestic policy rate cut timeline and the trade talk with the US are expected to play an important role in Samvat 2082, according to foreign exchange and government bond dealers.

- ANJALI KUMARI

The Samvat for the Indian bond market is expected to be positive, with multiple rate cuts in picture.

India’s retail inflation eased to a 99-month low in September, sharply below the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI's) target band, strengthening the case for monetary easing in the coming quarters. Economists said the benign inflation backdrop has opened up space for multiple rate cuts, with the terminal policy rate expected to settle around 5 per cent by the end of next year.

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