Climate experts develop AI model to predict cyclone rainfall

Climate experts from the University of the Philippines (UP) have developed an artificial intelligence model that uses past tropical cyclone tracks to predict rainfall.

- BELLA CARIASO

A study published in the journal Meteorological Applications said the AI model developed by climate experts Cris Gino Mesias and Gerry Bagtasa can spot patterns more efficiently while using the same information about the country's previous typhoons.

"Most predictions of tropical cyclone rainfall rely on dynamic models, which are very difficult to run as they take a lot of computational resources and require high-performance computing," Bagtasa said.

"When we assessed the AI model, its predictive skill was comparable to a dynamic model that we regularly use. The AI model had better skills for extreme rainfall from tropical cyclones," he added.