Cautious Trading Approach Emerges in Commodity Market
Dalal Street Investment Journal|July 31, 2023
Following the surge of optimism last week due to the prospects of a rate hike pause by the US Federal Reserve, the global commodity market adopted a slightly cautious approach amid mixed data and earnings results from the US.
Cautious Trading Approach Emerges in Commodity Market

The dollar made a recovery from its 15-month lows in the past fortnight. The unexpected decline in US jobless claims signalled a strong labour market and increased expectations of rate hikes. However, housing data in June disappointed, with housing starts, building permits, and existing home sales all missing estimates.

The greenback found additional support from cooler-than-expected UK inflation and dovish remarks from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor and European Central Bank (ECB) official. ECB Governing Council member Klaas Knot suggested that monetary tightening beyond the upcoming meeting is uncertain, hinting at a possible end to interest-rate hikes. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda mentioned that achieving the inflation target remains distant, implying continued support for ultra-loose monetary policies.

This story is from the July 31, 2023 edition of Dalal Street Investment Journal.

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This story is from the July 31, 2023 edition of Dalal Street Investment Journal.

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