CITY ON THE CUSP OF THIRD WAVE
The Free Press Journal|December 30, 2021
As cases rise, doubling rate plummets: down to 682 days from 2,050 days until December 21; some doctors say this marks the start of the 3rd wave, while civic officials say it's too early to call it one
SWAPNIL MISHRA

Mumbai seems to be on the cusp of a third Covid wave: an ominous indicator is the nearly 82% spike in cases over that on Tuesday. The city clocked 2,510 cases on Wednesday and 20 related deaths, as against 1,377 cases the previous day.

As the number of cases in the city spiral, the weekly doubling rate has fallen in the last seven days. According to BMC data, the current overall doubling rate of cases has dropped to 682 days from 2,050 days (until December 21).

(For the greenhorns, doubling time is the number of days required for the number of cases in a pandemic to double, based on the rate of cumulative increase in number of cases.)

Health department officials have attributed this to the laxity in public behaviour by not religiously adhering to Covid norms, resulting in a surge in caseload and a corresponding drop in the doubling rate. Some doctors are saying this spike in the daily case count marks the start of the third wave; however, civic officials are treading over eggshells and maintain that it is too early to term it SO.

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