The U.S. - Europe Rift Brings Nuclear Risks
Time|March 4, 2019

IT’S BEEN THE STUFF OF NIGHTMARES EVER SINCE the Cold War: U.S. officers detect a Russian missile taking flight, and they have just a few minutes to counsel the President on how to react.

Simon Shuster/Munich
The U.S. - Europe Rift Brings Nuclear Risks

Under the treaties that govern nuclear arms, those officers have the information they need to help make the right call—and to avoid such scenarios from arising in the first place. But these safeguards are now in jeopardy.

Two of the treaties that buttress the world’s post– Cold War security architecture—setting strict limits and enforcing transparency on both the U.S. and Russian arsenals —are in the process of unraveling. The Trump Administration said Feb. 1 that it would withdraw the U.S. from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, on the grounds that Russia had been violating it for years. In 2021, a separate treaty that governs long-range nuclear missiles, known as New START, is due to expire. Renewing it would likely take years of talks. But so far, “we have not been offered any meaningful consultations,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told an annual security summit on Feb. 16 in Munich. If talks don’t begin soon, most experts believe the treaty will lapse with nothing to replace it.

This story is from the March 4, 2019 edition of Time.

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