The Free Fall
Outlook|July 10, 2017

It’s a hard time for the real estate sector with falling prices and stagnant sales. But, while investors are wary, home-buyers may soon have a reason to smile.

Ajay Sukumaran, Minu Ittype, Prachi Pinglay, Shekhar, Dola Mitra
The Free Fall

'Dreaming spires’. That phrase conjured up the genteel aspirations of an older, outbound elite. But think of those desi baroque skyscrapers on the edge of town, and you know the metaphor lives happily in the 21st- century Indian metropolitan suburb. Our cities have changed beyond recognition—the last two decades have seen a feeding frenzy of construction, a permanent flux in the landscape. As urban spaces tried to cope with everyone’s idea of a ‘dream house’, the concrete mixers never stopped churning. Till now, that is.

Look at Noida Extension. It was touted to be one of NCR’s (national capital region’s) most popular areas for housing development. But what you see today is realty’s equivalent of a post-curfew scenario: an uneasy calm. Many apartments are unfinished, construction activity has almost ground to a halt, and there are no signs of the builders trying to sell their pieces of copy-paste architecture.

Whether you like the endless towers coming up everywhere or not, real estate is one of the most prominent pointers of a country’s growth and, along with gold, one of the major avenues of investment for people. But the boom of the noughties is clearly behind us. In the last two and a half years, India’s real estate market has hit a trough. Post- demonetisation, sales have slumped more, despite a further 20-25 per cent fall in prices of ready-to-move-in and resale property, particularly in NCR . On an average, prices since 2015 have fallen 3040 per cent in most parts of the country due to trust deficit among investors. They are now unwilling to put their money in this once lucrative sector, which is equivalent to betting against future growth.

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