Reality-Check Of The Economy
BUSINESS ECONOMICS|September 16-31, 2019
The first few months of 2019 have seen the lowest new investment proposals in India in the last 14 years.
Kuntala Sarkar

The ‘Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy’ report states investments in Q4 of FY 2019 added only ₹9.5 lakh crore. These figures are unlikely to experience any significant change in the upcoming quarters of FY 20 This is likely to impact investment rates negatively.

The ‘Annual Report - 2018-19’ of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) states, “India’s real GDP growth clocked an average of 7.7% during 2014-18 and 8% in Q1 of 2018-19, but it began to shed momentum through the rest of 2018-19.” Significantly, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects global growth to be sluggish as it may drop to 3.2% in 2019 from 3.6% in the previous year and this will negatively impact the Indian economy. The RBI also reports, “The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) growth decelerated during 2018-19 to a three-year low of 3.8% and this was driven by deceleration in manufacturing.” Only India’s macroeconomic stability has been a point of hope and inflation stayed below the target of 4% for FY 19.

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