Domestic-focused businesses can shield portfolio from uncertainty

One of the largest exposures we have is large banks, both PSU and private, and not just because of tariffs Harsha Upadhyaya President & CIO, Kotak Mahindra AMC

- Ram Sahgal

India's domestic-focused businesses will feel relatively less pain of the US reciprocal tariffs and it would pay to stay invested in businesses oriented toward local markets, according to a top fund manager of Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company Ltd.

The tariffs have raised uncertainty, which the market doesn't like, said Harsha Upadhyaya, president & chief investment officer at the fund house. "One way of insulating investor portfolios amid this rising uncertainty is by investing in domestic-facing businesses."

His fund's portfolios are 85% tilted toward such companies, and prefers large banks and are slightly underweight on IT.

Reciprocal tariffs have upended markets. Your take?

That global growth will slow down and inflation moving up appear to be a reality now. When you look at the impact, obviously anybody who is exporting to the US will have an impact.

The relative impact on India could be lower compared to some of the other countries, which are competing with us for increasing export share.

However, the point is when costs go up for a consumer or business, then there is going to be either deferment of demand or destruction of that demand and that's what we need to worry about.

If you look at the listed space, it is dominated by domestic businesses in India. So, to a large extent, the impact will be a lot lesser compared to what you would otherwise see if all the exporters were listed. Within the listed space also, there are a couple of large US-oriented exporters.