MY PREDICTION: Canada's Poilievre Era Will Begin

He'll likely win a majority and immediately kill all the Liberals’ sacred cows

- Stephen Maher

Author of The Prince: The Turbulent Reign of Justin Trudeau

It's all but certain that, by the end of the year, Pierre Poilievre will become our new prime minister. We don't know when the election will be, or even who will lead the Liberals. What we do know is that the Conservatives have been ahead in the polls by double digits since September of 2022, when Poilievre became leader. He'll probably win a majority-and then he'll move fast and break things.

When it happens, there will be great rejoicing, not just where "Fuck Trudeau" flags are flown but also among the many people who feel that taxes are too high, housing is too scarce, oil extraction is too heavily regulated and immigration is out of hand. Poilievre is going to win because, when he says that Canada is broken, he is speaking for most Canadians-a Leger poll in March found 70 per cent of Canadians agree with him, including 43 per cent of Liberal voters.