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South Africa’s National Dialogue: A cry for help or a catalyst for change?

The Mercury

|

August 11, 2025

FEW MOMENTS in South Africa's democratic history have so starkly reflected the widening gap between policy intention and institutional delivery.

The announcement of a National Dialogue comes at a time when social trust is fraying, growth has stalled, and many South Africans feel locked out of their country’s economic future.

With unemployment at 32.9%, public debt at 74% of GDP, and GDP growth projected at just 1.1% for 2025, the dialogue presents both a symbolic threshold and a substantive opportunity. Whether it signals a willingness to confront structural failure or merely gestures at inclusion without consequence remains to be seen. But what is clear is that the path forward cannot be paved with rhetoric alone.

Simultaneously, South Africa's evolving relationship with BRICS, following the bloc’s 2024 expansion to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the UAE, adds a new layer of geopolitical complexity. While the New Development Bank offers infrastructure funding, the absence of strategic clarity has raised concerns about the country’s ability to fully leverage these alliances. The National Dialogue could offer a turning point, but only if it prioritises tangible outcomes over symbolism. This includes measurable progress on economic stabilisation, BRICS alignment, sectoral coordination and governance reform.

It must also amplify the voices of those most affected by systemic failure, unemployed youth, rural communities and the working poor. If designed with vision and integrity, the dialogue can catalyse reform; if not, it risks becoming yet another footnote in a long history of political deflection.

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