Labour Polls show reasons for party's lingering anxieties despite its huge lead
The Guardian|April 23, 2024
As 2014 came to a close, it seemed Ed Miliband would be the next prime minister, with the Labour party leading over David Cameron's Conservatives as the general election approached. But when the May 2015 results came in, it was Cameron who headed back to Downing Street.
Ashley Kirk
Labour Polls show reasons for party's lingering anxieties despite its huge lead

Miliband's loss is still fresh in the memory, with Labour strategists nervous that Keir Starmer's large polling lead could erode as the general election nears.

While Labour's lead in voting intention polls is significantly larger than Miliband's in 2014, there are several underlying data points that explain those anxieties.

When looking at the feelings the public holds about the main parties, Ipsos polling shows many people view Starmer's Labour party in a similar - if not worse - light to Miliband's as they both approached election time.

The proportion of those who said Labour was fit to govern was 31% in April 2024, compared with 41% in September 2014. Only 24% now say Labour has a good team of leaders compared with 31% then, while 39% say Labour understands the problems facing Great Britain, compared with 52% then. On all four of the measures analysed by the Guardian, perceptions are more negative than in 2014.

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